Boom Boom Bitcoin


As stated in early November’s post:The similar performance of US stocks and Bitcoin is quite rare within 2018, and more precisely in the 2nd half of the year. In October, US stocks faced the biggest drop seen in the past 7 years, in contrast with Bitcoin which faced remarkably low volatility.

The volume had been rising since June 2018 as price has been falling. This indicates that sellers require decreasing numbers and increasing enthusiasm in order to keep pushing prices lower. Theoretically, a price drop on large volume is a stronger signal that something in the stock has fundamentally changed. Hence this could suggest that the price might fall further.”

This had been confirmed , as the asset remains to the downside, while significant is the fact that it finally entered today a strong Support area, as stated on the August 14 post – “Hence only the breakout of triangle’s trendline and 6-months Support level at $5,783 (also 150-day SMA), could open the doors to the downside, with next Support at $3,500-$2,911.00 ( at 150-day SMA and October 2017 low).”

Despite the sharp sell-off the past 3 weeks, the asset is looking to close the week with the  same negative sentiment.  From the technical perspective, there is no sign of positive momentum in the market, as the asset is trading outside the weekly Bollinger Bands while they keep extending to the downside. Meanwhile, daily and weekly momentum indicators configured negatively within the oversold area, without looking that bottom has been reached yet. The Support remains at $2,911.00 (October 2017 low), while on the break of this, next level to watch is at $2,200-$2,237 area. The latter reflects to FE200 but importantly the temporary spike seen in the 1st Quarter of 2015 as illustrated in the figure below.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst


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